Interest Rate regression to the mean?

Episode 241:  Will interest rates regress to their mean?  Yes, eventually when the Federal Reserve and other central banks end their intervention.

BUT…the important question is:  What mean?

The mean of the past 30 years?  Or the mean of the previous 90 year bond cycle, where with few exceptions (notably World War I) from 1875-1965 the 10 year Treasury’s yield was in the range of 2-4%.


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